Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Richmond Spiders v Bucknell Bison

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 22:00 UTC

Final: Richmond Spiders 35–14 Bucknell Bison

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Richmond Spiders (Local)

Prediction 80.74%1.24fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -15.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.31%80.67%80.78%81.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.191.2087.72%84.68%84.03%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bucknell Bison (Visit)

Prediction 19.26%5.19fair odd
EV +0.164%
Edge +0.031%
Kelly +0.039%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.24%19.33%19.22%20.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.915.005.2021.74%20.35%20.00%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Richmond Spiders (Local): 80.74%; Bucknell Bison (Visit): 19.26%. For Bucknell Bison (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.164%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.34%E -5.47%K -39.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +0.164%E +0.031%K +0.039%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 20:25
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.92%E -3.30%K -20.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.69%E -0.738%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.92%E -3.30%K -20.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.69%E -0.738%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 16:50
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.92%E -3.30%K -20.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.69%E -0.738%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.92%E -3.30%K -20.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.69%E -0.738%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.73%E -4.01%K -26.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.69%E -0.738%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 16:04
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.73%E -4.01%K -26.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.62%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 21:40
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.92%E -3.30%K -20.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.54%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.96%E -6.98%K -56.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -7.54%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 20:24
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.73%E -4.01%K -26.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.50%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 20:40
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.11%E -2.60%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.39%E -2.48%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.