Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhode Island Rams v Elon Phoenix

2026-09-12 16:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhode Island Rams (Local)

Prediction 73.07%1.37fair odd
EV -5.74%
Edge -4.45%
Kelly -19.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%73.07%73.07%74.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.271.271.2979.37%78.43%78.43%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elon Phoenix (Visit)

Prediction 26.93%3.71fair odd
EV +0.992%
Edge +0.264%
Kelly +0.361%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%26.93%26.93%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.633.633.7528.57%27.59%27.59%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rhode Island Rams (Local): 73.07%; Elon Phoenix (Visit): 26.93%. For Elon Phoenix (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.75, producing a positive expected value of +0.992%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.93%E -6.30%K -30.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +0.992%E +0.264%K +0.361%G +0.004%6.0%2026-09-09 00:34
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 00:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.