Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhode Island Rams v Elon Phoenix

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 16:01 UTC

Final: Rhode Island Rams 31–10 Elon Phoenix

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhode Island Rams (Local)

Prediction 71.32%1.40fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -4.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.20%71.28%71.20%73.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.321.321.3877.52%75.60%75.76%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elon Phoenix (Visit)

Prediction 28.68%3.49fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.510%
Kelly +0.709%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%28.72%28.80%30.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.5532.26%29.48%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rhode Island Rams (Local): 71.32%; Elon Phoenix (Visit): 28.68%. For Elon Phoenix (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.86%E -4.44%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +1.81%E +0.510%K +0.709%G +0.013%3.9%2026-09-12 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.81%E +0.510%K +0.709%G +0.013%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.81%E +0.510%K +0.709%G +0.013%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.81%E +0.510%K +0.709%G +0.013%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.57%E -5.01%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.375%E +0.107%K +0.150%G +0.001%4.9%2026-09-12 14:54
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.00%E -6.20%K -27.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.49%E -0.733%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.72%E -2.75%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.36%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.87%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.36%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 14:55
Caesars🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.86%E -4.44%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.36%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -3.72%E -2.75%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -7.94%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.58%E -1.14%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.