Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhode Island Rams v Brown Bears

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:01 UTC

Final: Rhode Island Rams 13–10 Brown Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rhode Island Rams (Local)

Prediction 60.63%1.65fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -7.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.30%60.77%60.45%62.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.551.541.5865.36%64.47%64.94%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brown Bears (Visit)

Prediction 39.37%2.54fair odd
EV +1.19%
Edge +0.464%
Kelly +0.760%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.32%39.23%39.55%39.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.392.452.442.5741.84%40.82%40.98%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rhode Island Rams (Local): 60.63%; Brown Bears (Visit): 39.37%. For Brown Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV +1.19%E +0.464%K +0.760%G +0.009%4.3%2026-10-03 15:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.56%E -0.625%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 14:15
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.35%E -0.948%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.35%E -0.948%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.35%E -0.948%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 14:15
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.21%E -2.67%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 15:00
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 15:55
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 11:35
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 15:51
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.