Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland State Vikings v UC Davis Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 19:01 UTC

Final: Portland State Vikings 24–31 UC Davis Aggies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland State Vikings (Local)

Prediction 6.65%15.04fair odd
EV +9.72%
Edge +0.589%
Kelly +0.627%
Growth +0.061%

assuming max odds 16.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.88%6.56%6.79%7.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0014.3614.0016.507.69%6.96%7.14%6.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Davis Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 93.35%1.07fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -3.74%
Kelly -128.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.66%93.44%93.21%94.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.021.021.0398.04%97.75%98.04%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland State Vikings (Local): 6.65%; UC Davis Aggies (Visit): 93.35%. For Portland State Vikings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯16.50I 6.06%NM 5.88%EV +9.72%E +0.589%K +0.627%G +0.061%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.12%EV -3.85%E -3.74%K -128.30%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 18:25
BetRivers🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.255%E -0.017%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.78%E -4.69%K -239.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 13:20
Bally Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.255%E -0.017%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.78%E -4.69%K -239.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 14:44
betPARX🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.255%E -0.017%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.78%E -4.69%K -239.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 14:44
DraftKings🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -6.90%E -0.493%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.78%E -4.69%K -239.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 15:29
theScore Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -6.90%E -0.493%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.78%E -4.69%K -239.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 15:30
ReBet🎯13.75I 7.27%NM 6.97%EV -8.57%E -0.623%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.03%EV -3.85%E -3.74%K -128.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 18:05
Fliff🎯13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV -8.57%E -0.623%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -4.78%E -4.69%K -239.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:45
FanDuel🎯13.60I 7.35%NM 6.98%EV -9.56%E -0.703%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.02%EV -4.78%E -4.69%K -239.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -13.55%E -1.04%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.85%E -3.74%K -128.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.