The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pennsylvania Quakers v Yale University Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 23:01 UTC

Final: Pennsylvania Quakers 24–21 Yale University Bulldogs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pennsylvania Quakers (Local)

Prediction 29.70%3.37fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -0.972%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%29.92%29.59%31.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.983.183.203.2633.56%31.49%31.25%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yale University Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 70.30%1.42fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.04%70.08%70.41%71.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.351.351.4076.34%73.98%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pennsylvania Quakers (Local): 29.70%; Yale University Bulldogs (Visit): 70.30%. For Yale University Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.40, with an expected value of -1.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -3.17%E -0.972%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.80%E -4.33%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 15:21
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.47%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.91%E -6.04%K -25.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 19:45
ReBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -4.36%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.50%E -4.89%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 19:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 15:12
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.40%E -3.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 21:35
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.10%E -3.78%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 19:45
Bally Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.10%E -3.78%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 19:45
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.10%E -3.78%K -14.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 19:45
Caesars🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.80%E -4.33%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 14:40
Fliff🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.92%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.69%E -2.70%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 22:59
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.92%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.40%E -3.23%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 22:25
FanDuel🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -11.49%E -3.85%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -1.58%E -1.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 21:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.