Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northwestern State Demons v Southeastern Louisiana Lions

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 23:00 UTC

Final: Northwestern State Demons 21–52 Southeastern Louisiana Lions

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

98%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northwestern State Demons (Local)

Prediction 2.38%42.00fair odd

EV -2.38%

Edge -0.058%

Kelly -0.060%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 41.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

2.38%2.38%2.38%3.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

26.0033.5033.5041.003.85%2.99%2.99%2.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southeastern Louisiana Lions (Visit)

Prediction 97.62%1.02fair odd

EV -1.40%

Edge -1.39%

Kelly -140.48%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

96.26%97.62%97.62%97.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.50%99.50%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northwestern State Demons (Local): 2.38%; Southeastern Louisiana Lions (Visit): 97.62%. For Southeastern Louisiana Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.01, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV -2.38%E -0.058%K -0.060%G +0.000%	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -2.38%E -2.38%K +0.000%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-09-26 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV -38.10%E -1.47%K -1.52%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -1.40%E -1.39%K -140.48%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-09-26 20:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.