Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Iowa Panthers v Illinois State Redbirds

2026-09-26 21:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

10%

90%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Iowa Panthers (Local)

Prediction 10.14%9.86fair odd

EV -5.65%

Edge -0.608%

Kelly -0.681%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.14%10.14%10.14%10.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

9.009.159.159.3011.11%10.93%10.93%10.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Illinois State Redbirds (Visit)

Prediction 89.86%1.11fair odd

EV -5.65%

Edge -5.38%

Kelly -113.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

89.55%89.86%89.86%89.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.051.051.051.0595.24%95.24%95.24%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Northern Iowa Panthers (Local): 10.14%; Illinois State Redbirds (Visit): 89.86%. For Northern Iowa Panthers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 9.30, with an expected value of -5.65%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	9.30I 10.75%NM 10.14%EV -5.65%E -0.608%K -0.681%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.86%EV -5.65%E -5.38%K -113.04%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-23 06:45
ReBet🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.70%E -0.966%K -1.09%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.65%E -5.38%K -113.04%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-23 06:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.