The School of College Oddsodds.college
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North Alabama Lions v Western Illinois Leathernecks

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 20:01 UTC

Final: North Alabama Lions 23–20 Western Illinois Leathernecks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Alabama Lions (Local)

Prediction 68.34%1.46fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.96%68.03%68.81%69.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.381.4473.53%72.00%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Illinois Leathernecks (Visit)

Prediction 31.66%3.16fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -0.877%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.80%31.97%31.19%34.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.793.013.003.1035.84%33.22%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Alabama Lions (Local): 68.34%; Western Illinois Leathernecks (Visit): 31.66%. For North Alabama Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.44, with an expected value of -1.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -1.60%E -1.11%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -11.66%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.28%E -1.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 19:14
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.01%E -3.61%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 19:44
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.84%E -0.594%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 19:45
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.84%E -0.594%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 19:45
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.84%E -0.594%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 19:45
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.70%E -4.13%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.42%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.06%E -5.19%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.06%E -5.19%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 19:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.