The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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North Alabama Lions v Samford Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 23:00 UTC

Final: North Alabama Lions 22–10 Samford Bulldogs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Alabama Lions (Local)

Prediction 70.00%1.43fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -8.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.13%70.17%71.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.361.3875.76%73.97%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samford Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 30.00%3.33fair odd
EV +1.70%
Edge +0.502%
Kelly +0.712%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 3.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.03%29.87%29.83%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.173.153.3933.33%31.53%31.75%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Alabama Lions (Local): 70.00%; Samford Bulldogs (Visit): 30.00%. For Samford Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.75%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV +1.70%E +0.502%K +0.712%G +0.012%5.3%2026-08-29 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.50%E -0.769%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 22:55
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.50%E -0.769%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 22:55
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.50%E -0.769%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 22:55
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.50%E -0.769%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:20
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:20
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.40%E -2.46%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.50%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.00%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.00%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.