Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk State Spartans v Hampton Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 20:01 UTC

Final: Norfolk State Spartans 42–21 Hampton Pirates

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

69%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norfolk State Spartans (Local)

Prediction 69.42%1.44fair odd

EV -2.81%

Edge -2.01%

Kelly -7.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.44%69.49%69.51%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.341.361.361.4074.63%73.41%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hampton Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 30.58%3.27fair odd

EV +2.44%

Edge +0.727%

Kelly +1.04%

Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.57%30.51%30.49%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.903.143.103.3534.48%31.85%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norfolk State Spartans (Local): 69.42%; Hampton Pirates (Visit): 30.58%. For Hampton Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.97%E -5.20%K -20.51%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +2.44%E +0.727%K +1.04%G +0.025%	4.5%	2026-09-19 19:55
betPARX🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.97%E -5.20%K -20.51%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +2.44%E +0.727%K +1.04%G +0.025%	4.5%	2026-09-19 19:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.97%E -5.20%K -20.51%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +2.44%E +0.727%K +1.04%G +0.025%	4.5%	2026-09-19 19:55
DraftKings🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%	3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -3.37%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 17:19
Fliff🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-19 19:55
BetMGM🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.52%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.21%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-19 17:29
FanDuel🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.74%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-19 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.32%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-19 19:54
theScore Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.32%E -3.91%K -5.96%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-19 19:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.