The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Nicholls State Colonels v Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 20:01 UTC

Final: Nicholls State Colonels 0–56 Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nicholls State Colonels (Local)

Prediction 7.65%13.08fair odd
EV +14.69%
Edge +0.979%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.154%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.48%7.60%7.62%11.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.7012.3613.0015.0012.99%8.09%7.69%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit)

Prediction 92.35%1.08fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -3.80%
Kelly -98.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.20%92.40%92.38%93.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.031.031.0498.04%97.00%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nicholls State Colonels (Local): 7.65%; Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit): 92.35%. For Nicholls State Colonels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.08. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV +14.69%E +0.979%K +1.05%G +0.154%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -3.95%E -3.80%K -98.79%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-17 17:05
FanDuel🎯13.60I 7.35%NM 6.98%EV +3.98%E +0.293%K +0.316%G +0.013%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.02%EV -5.80%E -5.68%K -289.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 17:05
Fliff🎯13.25I 7.55%NM 7.21%EV +1.31%E +0.099%K +0.107%G +0.001%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.79%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 19:20
BetRivers🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.605%E -0.047%K -0.050%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 19:54
betPARX🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.605%E -0.047%K -0.050%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 19:54
Bally Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.605%E -0.047%K -0.050%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.605%E -0.047%K -0.050%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 21:25
Caesars🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -8.25%E -0.688%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 14:29
DraftKings🎯11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV -12.84%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -3.95%E -3.80%K -98.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 14:00
theScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.90%E -1.45%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:00
ReBet🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 11.80%EV -41.13%E -5.34%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.20%EV -4.88%E -4.73%K -162.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.