Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Haven Chargers v Duquesne Dukes

2026-10-31 16:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Haven Chargers (Local)

Prediction 34.62%2.89fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%34.62%34.62%34.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.722.762.762.8036.76%36.23%36.23%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Duquesne Dukes (Visit)

Prediction 65.38%1.53fair odd
EV -5.85%
Edge -4.06%
Kelly -13.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.38%65.38%65.38%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.431.431.4470.42%69.93%69.93%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New Haven Chargers (Local): 34.62%; Duquesne Dukes (Visit): 65.38%. For New Haven Chargers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.80, with an expected value of -3.08%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 23:10
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.85%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-28 22:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.