Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.50
assuming max odds 1.22
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Haven Chargers (Local): 20.94%; Brown Bears (Visit): 79.06%. For New Haven Chargers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.78. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.17%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +15.17%E +2.76%K +3.37%G +0.511% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -8.29%E -7.15%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +15.17%E +2.76%K +3.37%G +0.511% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -8.29%E -7.15%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +15.17%E +2.76%K +3.37%G +0.511% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -8.29%E -7.15%K -51.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.68%E -0.800%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.34%E -3.58%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 15:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.68%E -0.800%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.13%E -4.27%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -4.73%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.13%E -4.27%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.30%EV -6.40%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.70%EV -4.34%E -3.58%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.01%E -2.59%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.55%E -2.91%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.71%E -5.69%K -37.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -14.15%E -3.45%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.34%E -3.58%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.