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Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Hampshire Wildcats v Stony Brook Seawolves

2026-11-14 18:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Hampshire Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 35.77%2.80fair odd
EV -0.569%
Edge -0.205%
Kelly -0.320%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.97%35.77%35.77%35.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.642.712.712.7837.88%36.90%36.90%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stony Brook Seawolves (Visit)

Prediction 64.23%1.56fair odd
EV -5.58%
Edge -3.79%
Kelly -11.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.23%64.23%64.23%66.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.451.451.4769.93%68.97%68.97%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New Hampshire Wildcats (Local): 35.77%; Stony Brook Seawolves (Visit): 64.23%. For New Hampshire Wildcats (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.78, with an expected value of -0.569%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -0.569%E -0.205%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -8.15%E -5.70%K -18.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-11 06:09
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.58%E -3.79%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-11 05:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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