Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Hampshire Wildcats v Stonehill Skyhawks

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 22:01 UTC

Final: New Hampshire Wildcats 42–35 Stonehill Skyhawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Hampshire Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 81.08%1.23fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -13.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.00%81.13%80.59%82.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.63%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stonehill Skyhawks (Visit)

Prediction 18.92%5.28fair odd
EV +0.298%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.069%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.58%18.87%19.41%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.095.255.3020.83%19.63%19.05%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Hampshire Wildcats (Local): 81.08%; Stonehill Skyhawks (Visit): 18.92%. For Stonehill Skyhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.298%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.20%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +0.298%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.20%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +0.298%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.20%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +0.298%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.648%E -0.123%K -0.153%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -9.20%E -8.21%K -76.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -0.648%E -0.123%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 18:44
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.27%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.27%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 18:40
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.06%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -8.22%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.