Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Hampshire Wildcats v Harvard Crimson

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 17:01 UTC

Final: New Hampshire Wildcats 7–31 Harvard Crimson

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Hampshire Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 16.07%6.22fair odd
EV +4.43%
Edge +0.682%
Kelly +0.805%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.81%15.90%16.07%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.755.955.836.5017.39%16.81%17.17%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Harvard Crimson (Visit)

Prediction 83.93%1.19fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -23.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.33%84.10%83.93%85.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1590.91%88.30%88.50%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Hampshire Wildcats (Local): 16.07%; Harvard Crimson (Visit): 83.93%. For New Hampshire Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +4.43%E +0.682%K +0.805%G +0.036%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.15%E -4.56%K -39.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 15:25
Fliff🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -0.390%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.99%E -5.35%K -49.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 15:26
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.60%E -0.600%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.15%E -4.56%K -39.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:02
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.21%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.15%E -4.56%K -39.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:02
betPARX🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -7.62%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.48%E -3.02%K -23.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 15:31
Bally Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -7.62%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.48%E -3.02%K -23.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 15:30
BetRivers🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -7.62%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.48%E -3.02%K -23.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 15:32
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -7.62%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -7.67%E -6.98%K -76.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.