Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Murray State Racers v Southern Illinois Salukis

2026-09-26 23:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

12%

88%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Murray State Racers (Local)

Prediction 11.80%8.48fair odd

EV -5.62%

Edge -0.703%

Kelly -0.803%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.80%11.80%11.80%14.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.707.357.358.0014.93%13.61%13.61%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit)

Prediction 88.20%1.13fair odd

EV -2.98%

Edge -2.71%

Kelly -29.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

85.90%88.20%88.20%88.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.071.081.081.1093.46%92.17%92.17%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Murray State Racers (Local): 11.80%; Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit): 88.20%. For Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.13. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.10, with an expected value of -2.98%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.62%E -0.703%K -0.803%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.62%E -5.26%K -80.33%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-23 06:45
ReBet🎯	6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -20.96%E -3.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -2.98%E -2.71%K -29.77%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-23 06:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.