Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.81
assuming max odds 2.16
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Morehead State Eagles (Local): 54.16%; Stetson Hatters (Visit): 45.84%. For Stetson Hatters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.16, with an expected value of -0.977%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -1.98%E -1.09%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -8.77%E -4.41%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-23 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-24 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.14%E -2.34%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.73%E -1.78%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-24 10:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.14%E -2.34%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-24 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.73%E -1.78%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.73%E -1.78%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.73%E -1.78%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.73%E -1.78%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-22 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.93%E -4.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.977%E -0.453%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 08:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.