Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montana Grizzlies v Utah Tech Trailblazers

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 19:01 UTC

Final: Montana Grizzlies 35–14 Utah Tech Trailblazers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

97%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montana Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 97.48%1.03fair odd

EV -2.52%

Edge -2.52%

Kelly +0.000%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

96.88%97.48%97.48%98.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.00100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Tech Trailblazers (Visit)

Prediction 2.52%39.62fair odd

EV +28.73%

Edge +0.563%

Kelly +0.575%

Growth +0.165%

assuming max odds 51.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

1.92%2.52%2.52%3.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

31.0041.0041.0051.003.23%2.44%2.44%1.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montana Grizzlies (Local): 97.48%; Utah Tech Trailblazers (Visit): 2.52%. For Utah Tech Trailblazers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 39.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 51.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +28.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -2.52%E -2.52%K +0.000%G +0.000%	51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +28.73%E +0.563%K +0.575%G +0.165%	2.0%	2026-09-12 17:00
FanDuel🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -2.52%E -2.52%K +0.000%G +0.000%	31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV -21.75%E -0.702%K -0.725%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-12 14:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.