The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Montana Grizzlies v Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 01:00 UTC

Final: Montana Grizzlies 28–21 Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montana Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 85.61%1.17fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -17.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.45%85.54%86.10%86.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.111.1491.74%89.94%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit)

Prediction 14.39%6.95fair odd
EV +3.59%
Edge +0.499%
Kelly +0.579%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 7.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.15%14.46%13.90%16.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.606.757.2017.39%15.15%14.81%13.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montana Grizzlies (Local): 85.61%; Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit): 14.39%. For Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.95. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -6.68%E -6.13%K -74.25%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV +3.59%E +0.499%K +0.579%G +0.021%5.6%2026-08-29 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.11%E -3.67%K -34.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +0.714%E +0.102%K +0.119%G +0.001%3.6%2026-08-30 00:29
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.714%E +0.102%K +0.119%G +0.001%4.4%2026-08-28 14:29
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.714%E +0.102%K +0.119%G +0.001%4.4%2026-08-28 14:44
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.714%E +0.102%K +0.119%G +0.001%4.4%2026-08-28 14:44
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.19%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.88%E -0.427%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 00:30
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.88%E -0.427%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 14:38
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.48%E -0.997%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -3.26%E -2.88%K -25.06%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -15.11%E -2.56%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.40%E -2.11%K -17.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -17.27%E -3.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 15:14
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -17.27%E -3.00%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 19:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.