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Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.15
assuming max odds 6.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montana Grizzlies (Local): 83.70%; Idaho Vandals (Visit): 16.30%. For Idaho Vandals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.00, with an expected value of -2.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.74%E -3.25%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -2.21%E -0.368%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 15:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -3.84%E -0.651%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 12:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -3.84%E -0.651%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 12:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -3.84%E -0.651%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 12:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.47%E -0.943%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.38%EV -4.58%E -4.02%K -32.72%G +0.000% | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.62%EV -6.77%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 15:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.25%E -5.58%K -52.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.36%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 18:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -9.60%E -8.89%K -120.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -2.21%E -0.368%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 13:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.