Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monmouth Hawks v Towson Tigers

2026-10-03 17:00 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monmouth Hawks (Local)

Prediction 77.34%1.29fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -13.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.19%77.34%77.76%78.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.231.2584.75%81.55%81.30%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Towson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -0.774%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.93%22.66%22.24%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.234.284.3025.00%23.67%23.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Monmouth Hawks (Local): 77.34%; Towson Tigers (Visit): 22.66%. For Towson Tigers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -2.55%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.10%E -3.31%K -17.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.69%E -0.868%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 15:49
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.55%E -0.594%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 15:49
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.55%E -0.594%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 15:50
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.55%E -0.594%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 15:49
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -5.95%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 17:39
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.55%E -0.594%K -0.774%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.74%E -7.41%K -48.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-02 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.