The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Monmouth Hawks v Towson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 17:00 UTC

Final: Monmouth Hawks 41–40 Towson Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monmouth Hawks (Local)

Prediction 76.18%1.31fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -12.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.29%76.35%76.18%77.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.72%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Towson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 23.82%4.20fair odd
EV +2.43%
Edge +0.565%
Kelly +0.736%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.24%23.65%23.82%24.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.844.124.104.3026.04%24.30%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monmouth Hawks (Local): 76.18%; Towson Tigers (Visit): 23.82%. For Towson Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +2.43%E +0.565%K +0.736%G +0.018%4.6%2026-10-02 15:49
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +2.43%E +0.565%K +0.736%G +0.018%4.6%2026-10-02 15:50
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +2.43%E +0.565%K +0.736%G +0.018%4.6%2026-10-02 15:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +1.24%E +0.291%K +0.381%G +0.005%4.2%2026-10-02 15:49
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.33%E -0.569%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 16:31
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.53%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -7.15%K -42.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.72%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 15:35
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.10%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 15:35
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.01%E -3.19%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.53%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.