The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Monmouth Hawks v Merrimack Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-11-14 17:00 UTC

Final: Monmouth Hawks 28–29 Merrimack Warriors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Monmouth Hawks (Local)

Prediction 85.11%1.17fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -4.18%
Kelly -38.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.33%85.09%85.11%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.121.1290.91%89.55%89.29%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Merrimack Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 14.89%6.72fair odd
EV +4.24%
Edge +0.606%
Kelly +0.707%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.79%14.91%14.89%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.266.257.0017.86%15.99%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Monmouth Hawks (Local): 85.11%; Merrimack Warriors (Visit): 14.89%. For Merrimack Warriors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.68%E -4.18%K -38.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +4.24%E +0.606%K +0.707%G +0.030%3.6%2026-11-14 14:15
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.53%E -4.98%K -50.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.21%E -0.493%K -0.583%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-14 16:55
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV -4.68%E -4.18%K -38.99%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -3.95%E -0.612%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-14 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.68%E -4.18%K -38.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.93%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 15:55
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.68%E -4.18%K -38.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.93%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 15:54
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.68%E -4.18%K -38.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.93%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 15:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.68%E -4.18%K -38.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.93%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 15:54
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.38%E -5.80%K -63.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -14.37%E -2.50%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-14 16:55
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.68%E -4.18%K -38.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -16.61%E -2.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-14 15:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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