Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mercer Bears v Presbyterian College Blue Hose

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 22:01 UTC

Final: Mercer Bears 62–3 Presbyterian College Blue Hose

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

88%

12%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mercer Bears (Local)

Prediction 88.20%1.13fair odd

EV -4.74%

Edge -4.39%

Kelly -59.26%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

88.17%88.20%88.20%89.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.071.071.071.0893.46%93.24%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Presbyterian College Blue Hose (Visit)

Prediction 11.80%8.48fair odd

EV +6.17%

Edge +0.686%

Kelly +0.772%

Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.63%11.80%11.80%11.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.008.448.389.0012.50%11.85%11.94%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mercer Bears (Local): 88.20%; Presbyterian College Blue Hose (Visit): 11.80%. For Presbyterian College Blue Hose (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.62%E -5.26%K -80.33%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +6.17%E +0.686%K +0.772%G +0.048%	4.6%	2026-09-01 21:35
ReBet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -5.62%E -5.26%K -80.33%G +0.000%	8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV +2.64%E +0.303%K +0.342%G +0.009%	5.0%	2026-09-03 22:05
Fliff🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.17%EV -4.74%E -4.39%K -59.26%G +0.000%	8.05I 12.42%NM 11.83%EV -5.03%E -0.625%K -0.714%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-03 23:04
FanDuel🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.62%E -5.26%K -80.33%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.62%E -0.703%K -0.803%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-01 21:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.