Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mercer Bears v Furman Paladins

2026-09-12 22:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

84%

16%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mercer Bears (Local)

Prediction 84.27%1.19fair odd

EV -5.62%

Edge -5.02%

Kelly -46.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

84.27%84.27%84.27%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.121.121.121.1289.29%89.29%89.29%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Furman Paladins (Visit)

Prediction 15.73%6.36fair odd

EV +2.25%

Edge +0.346%

Kelly +0.409%

Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

14.70%15.73%15.73%15.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.006.206.106.5016.67%16.13%16.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mercer Bears (Local): 84.27%; Furman Paladins (Visit): 15.73%. For Furman Paladins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.36. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.50, producing a positive expected value of +2.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.62%E -5.02%K -46.82%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.25%E +0.346%K +0.409%G +0.009%	4.7%	2026-09-09 03:04
ReBet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.62%E -5.02%K -46.82%G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -4.04%E -0.663%K -0.793%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-09 01:09
FanDuel🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.62%E -5.02%K -46.82%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.62%E -0.936%K -1.12%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-09 00:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.