The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Mercer Bears v Furman Paladins

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 22:01 UTC

Final: Mercer Bears 13–20 Furman Paladins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mercer Bears (Local)

Prediction 82.47%1.21fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -20.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.22%82.39%82.45%83.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.151.151.1790.09%86.96%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Furman Paladins (Visit)

Prediction 17.53%5.71fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.331%
Kelly -0.403%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.79%17.61%17.55%18.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.065.455.505.6019.76%18.36%18.18%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mercer Bears (Local): 82.47%; Furman Paladins (Visit): 17.53%. For Furman Paladins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.60, with an expected value of -1.85%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.51%E -3.00%K -20.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.61%E -0.656%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 20:45
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.22%EV -3.51%E -3.00%K -20.62%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.78%EV -11.32%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.85%E -0.331%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 20:40
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.85%E -0.331%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 20:40
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.85%E -0.331%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 20:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.61%E -0.656%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 21:20
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.37%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -4.48%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.36%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 19:45
Caesars🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.99%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 20:42
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.45%E -7.62%K -76.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -3.61%E -0.656%K -0.801%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.