Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mercer Bears v East Texas A&M Lions

2026-08-29 23:00 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

93%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mercer Bears (Local)

Prediction 92.92%1.08fair odd

EV -1.50%

Edge -1.42%

Kelly -25.08%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.42%92.92%92.83%93.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.021.031.021.0698.04%97.09%98.04%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Texas A&M Lions (Visit)

Prediction 7.08%14.12fair odd

EV -0.883%

Edge -0.063%

Kelly -0.068%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 14.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.79%7.08%7.17%9.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.0012.5313.1014.0010.00%7.98%7.63%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mercer Bears (Local): 92.92%; East Texas A&M Lions (Visit): 7.08%. For East Texas A&M Lions (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.12. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 14.00, with an expected value of -0.883%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -1.50%E -1.42%K -25.08%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -29.20%E -2.92%K -3.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-28 14:50
ReBet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -3.36%E -3.23%K -84.07%G +0.000%	11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -20.35%E -1.81%K -1.99%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-28 15:00
theScore Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.22%E -5.12%K -261.07%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -0.883%E -0.063%K -0.068%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-28 14:54
Fliff🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -5.22%E -5.12%K -261.07%G +0.000%	13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV -2.65%E -0.193%K -0.208%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 19:00
DraftKings🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.83%EV -5.22%E -5.12%K -261.07%G +0.000%	13.20I 7.58%NM 7.17%EV -6.55%E -0.496%K -0.537%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-28 13:10
FanDuel🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.22%E -5.12%K -261.07%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.96%E -0.613%K -0.664%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-28 13:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.