Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

McNeese State Cowboys v Tarleton State Texans

2026-09-12 23:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

McNeese State Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 9.42%10.62fair odd

EV -5.80%

Edge -0.580%

Kelly -0.644%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.42%9.42%9.42%10.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.809.439.5010.0011.36%10.60%10.53%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tarleton State Texans (Visit)

Prediction 90.58%1.10fair odd

EV -3.99%

Edge -3.76%

Kelly -66.43%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

89.25%90.58%90.58%90.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.041.051.061.0696.15%94.94%94.34%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: McNeese State Cowboys (Local): 9.42%; Tarleton State Texans (Visit): 90.58%. For Tarleton State Texans (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.10. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.06, with an expected value of -3.99%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -5.80%E -0.580%K -0.644%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.80%E -5.57%K -144.93%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-09 00:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.51%E -1.11%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.99%E -3.76%K -66.43%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-09 03:04
ReBet🎯	8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -17.10%E -1.94%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -3.99%E -3.76%K -66.43%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-09 01:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.