Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marist Red Foxes v Butler Bulldogs

2026-11-14 17:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

32%

68%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marist Red Foxes (Local)

Prediction 31.51%3.17fair odd

EV -5.48%

Edge -1.83%

Kelly -2.74%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.51%31.51%31.51%31.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.972.992.993.0033.67%33.50%33.50%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Butler Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 68.49%1.46fair odd

EV -4.79%

Edge -3.45%

Kelly -12.29%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.12%68.49%68.49%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.381.381.381.3972.46%72.20%72.20%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Marist Red Foxes (Local): 31.51%; Butler Bulldogs (Visit): 68.49%. For Butler Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.46. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.39, with an expected value of -4.79%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.48%E -3.97%K -14.42%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-11 05:00
ReBet🎯	2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -6.42%E -2.16%K -3.26%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -4.79%E -3.45%K -12.29%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-11 05:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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