Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LIU Sharks v Villanova Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:01 UTC

Final: LIU Sharks 16–20 Villanova Wildcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LIU Sharks (Local)

Prediction 10.17%9.83fair odd
EV +1.72%
Edge +0.172%
Kelly +0.191%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.67%10.38%10.23%12.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.949.2510.0013.33%11.19%10.81%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Villanova Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 89.83%1.11fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -11.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.21%89.62%89.77%90.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.061.1095.24%93.81%94.34%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LIU Sharks (Local): 10.17%; Villanova Wildcats (Visit): 89.83%. For LIU Sharks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +1.72%E +0.172%K +0.191%G +0.003%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.88%E -3.63%K -55.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 15:01
betPARX🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.37%E -0.354%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.68%E -5.41%K -113.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 15:01
Bally Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.37%E -0.354%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.68%E -5.41%K -113.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 15:01
BetRivers🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.37%E -0.354%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.68%E -5.41%K -113.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 15:01
DraftKings🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -5.40%E -0.581%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -4.78%E -4.51%K -79.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:02
FanDuel🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV -6.42%E -0.698%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -4.78%E -4.51%K -79.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 15:11
Fliff🎯9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV -7.44%E -0.817%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -4.78%E -4.51%K -79.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 15:49
theScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.62%E -2.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.78%E -4.51%K -79.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 15:10
ReBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -20.66%E -2.65%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -1.19%E -1.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 15:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -23.71%E -3.16%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -1.19%E -1.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 15:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.