Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lindenwood Lions v Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 18:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lindenwood Lions (Local)

Prediction 38.19%2.62fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.95%38.33%38.18%39.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.452.482.5342.02%40.76%40.32%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Visit)

Prediction 61.81%1.62fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.15%61.67%61.82%64.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.541.541.5970.42%65.01%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lindenwood Lions (Local): 38.19%; Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Visit): 61.81%. For Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.59, with an expected value of -1.72%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.95%EV -3.38%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.05%EV -12.23%E -8.61%K -29.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 15:50
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.58%E -2.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 16:10
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:00
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.28%E -4.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 17:54
DraftKings🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 15:45
FanDuel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:15
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.81%E -3.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 16:40
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.96%E -1.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 16:40
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.96%E -1.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 16:35
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.96%E -1.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.