Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Mountain Hawks v Dartmouth Big Green

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:01 UTC

Final: Lehigh Mountain Hawks 24–20 Dartmouth Big Green

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Mountain Hawks (Local)

Prediction 85.48%1.17fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -26.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.70%85.67%85.66%87.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.101.1392.59%90.33%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dartmouth Big Green (Visit)

Prediction 14.52%6.89fair odd
EV +8.93%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.123%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.79%14.33%14.34%15.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.826.767.5016.67%14.66%14.79%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (Local): 85.48%; Dartmouth Big Green (Visit): 14.52%. For Dartmouth Big Green (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.89. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.98%E -5.43%K -59.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +8.93%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.123%4.2%2026-09-19 14:02
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.98%E -5.43%K -59.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +8.93%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.123%4.2%2026-09-19 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.98%E -5.43%K -59.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +8.93%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.123%4.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.98%E -5.43%K -59.76%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV +0.214%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 15:54
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.02%EV -5.98%E -5.43%K -59.76%G +0.000%6.77I 14.77%NM 13.98%EV -1.67%E -0.247%K -0.290%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -3.41%E -3.02%K -26.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -1.96%E -0.291%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 15:55
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.27%E -3.81%K -35.56%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -4.14%E -0.628%K -0.740%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 15:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.27%E -3.81%K -35.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.60%E -0.861%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 10:40
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.27%E -3.81%K -35.56%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.95%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -7.69%E -7.12%K -96.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -12.86%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.