Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.32
assuming max odds 1.38
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lamar Cardinals (Local): 29.63%; Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit): 70.37%. For Lamar Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.32, with an expected value of -1.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -1.62%E -0.488%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 13:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 14:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 14:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.41%E -4.82%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 17:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.00%E -3.71%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.18%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.12%E -5.39%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.30%E -3.16%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 14:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.89%E -2.10%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.