The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Lafayette Leopards v Marist Red Foxes

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 16:31 UTC

Final: Lafayette Leopards 13–9 Marist Red Foxes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lafayette Leopards (Local)

Prediction 84.19%1.19fair odd
EV -0.652%
Edge -0.552%
Kelly -3.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.65%83.85%84.11%84.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1890.91%88.26%88.50%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marist Red Foxes (Visit)

Prediction 15.81%6.33fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.193%
Kelly -0.230%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.31%16.15%15.89%18.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.915.956.2519.05%16.91%16.81%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lafayette Leopards (Local): 84.19%; Marist Red Foxes (Visit): 15.81%. For Lafayette Leopards (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.18, with an expected value of -0.652%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -0.652%E -0.552%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -17.02%E -3.24%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 15:55
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -3.18%E -2.76%K -21.18%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -12.27%E -2.21%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.02%E -3.53%K -28.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.11%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.21%E -0.193%K -0.230%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:45
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.21%E -0.193%K -0.230%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:45
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.21%E -0.193%K -0.230%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:44
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.86%E -4.30%K -37.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -6.74%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.64%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.53%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.36%EV -2.47%E -0.401%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 15:40
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.70%E -5.09%K -47.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.16%E -0.860%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 15:43
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -7.39%E -6.72%K -73.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -9.11%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.