Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lafayette Leopards v Holy Cross Crusaders

2026-09-26 16:31 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lafayette Leopards (Local)

Prediction 62.87%1.59fair odd
EV -5.69%
Edge -3.80%
Kelly -11.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.87%62.87%62.87%64.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.481.481.5068.49%67.57%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit)

Prediction 37.13%2.69fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.607%
Kelly -0.975%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.52%37.13%37.13%37.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.542.592.592.6539.37%38.54%38.54%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lafayette Leopards (Local): 62.87%; Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit): 37.13%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.65, with an expected value of -1.61%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.69%E -3.80%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.69%E -2.24%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-23 06:45
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -8.21%E -5.62%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -1.61%E -0.607%K -0.975%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 06:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.