Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lafayette Leopards v Holy Cross Crusaders

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 16:31 UTC

Final: Lafayette Leopards 30–38 Holy Cross Crusaders

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

62%

38%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lafayette Leopards (Local)

Prediction 61.78%1.62fair odd

EV -1.15%

Edge -0.716%

Kelly -1.91%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.80%61.61%61.78%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.491.551.551.6067.11%64.43%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit)

Prediction 38.22%2.62fair odd

EV +3.56%

Edge +1.32%

Kelly +2.08%

Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.48%38.39%38.22%40.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.382.482.482.7142.02%40.27%40.40%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lafayette Leopards (Local): 61.78%; Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit): 38.22%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
ReBet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%	2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV +3.56%E +1.32%K +2.08%G +0.074%	4.0%	2026-09-26 15:35
FanDuel🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-26 16:05
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-26 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-26 16:29
BetUS🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-26 15:35
Fliff🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-26 16:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-26 16:29
BetRivers🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.15%E -0.716%K -1.91%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-26 14:44
Bally Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.15%E -0.716%K -1.91%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-26 14:44
betPARX🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -1.15%E -0.716%K -1.91%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-26 14:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.