Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jackson State Tigers v Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 21:01 UTC

Final: Jackson State Tigers 31–28 Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jackson State Tigers (Local)

Prediction 74.73%1.34fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -6.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.85%74.85%74.30%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.251.3181.97%79.23%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama A&M Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 25.27%3.96fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.271%
Kelly +0.361%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.15%25.70%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.683.853.804.0027.17%25.99%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jackson State Tigers (Local): 74.73%; Alabama A&M Bulldogs (Visit): 25.27%. For Alabama A&M Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.08%E +0.271%K +0.361%G +0.004%5.0%2026-10-03 19:40
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.08%E +0.271%K +0.361%G +0.004%5.0%2026-10-03 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.08%E +0.271%K +0.361%G +0.004%5.0%2026-10-03 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.08%E +0.271%K +0.361%G +0.004%5.0%2026-10-03 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.83%E -7.24%K -40.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.97%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 16:35
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.09%E -4.01%K -18.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.23%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -2.10%E -1.61%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-03 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.00%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.