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Incarnate Word Cardinals v McNeese State Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 21:01 UTC

Final: Incarnate Word Cardinals 38–6 McNeese State Cowboys

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 79.70%1.25fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -12.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.90%79.62%79.64%81.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.191.201.2285.47%83.75%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

McNeese State Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 20.30%4.93fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.304%
Kelly +0.380%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%20.38%20.36%22.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.654.605.0023.26%21.52%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incarnate Word Cardinals (Local): 79.70%; McNeese State Cowboys (Visit): 20.30%. For McNeese State Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.76%E -5.77%K -39.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.52%E +0.304%K +0.380%G +0.006%5.5%2026-10-24 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.33%EV -5.96%E -5.05%K -33.10%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.67%EV -2.13%E -0.443%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 19:30
Caesars🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.16%E -4.34%K -27.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.56%E -0.749%K -0.948%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 19:34
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.76%E -5.77%K -39.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -4.57%E -0.973%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 19:45
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.57%E -2.95%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.60%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.36%E -3.64%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.60%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 18:25
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.36%E -3.64%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.60%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 18:22
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.36%E -3.64%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.60%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 18:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.36%E -3.64%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.63%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 18:25
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.77%E -2.27%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.69%E -2.95%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 15:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.