Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Illinois State Redbirds v South Dakota State Jackrabbits

2026-10-03 23:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

46%

54%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Illinois State Redbirds (Local)

Prediction 46.32%2.16fair odd

EV -5.52%

Edge -2.70%

Kelly -5.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.17%46.32%46.32%46.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.042.042.042.0449.02%49.02%49.02%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Visit)

Prediction 53.68%1.86fair odd

EV -5.52%

Edge -3.13%

Kelly -7.26%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.68%53.68%53.68%53.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.751.751.751.7657.14%56.98%56.98%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Illinois State Redbirds (Local): 46.32%; South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Visit): 53.68%. For South Dakota State Jackrabbits (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.76, with an expected value of -5.52%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.52%E -2.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.52%E -3.13%K -7.26%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-30 04:45
ReBet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.52%E -2.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -6.05%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-30 05:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.