The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Idaho Vandals v Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 21:01 UTC

Final: Idaho Vandals 31–28 Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho Vandals (Local)

Prediction 56.98%1.76fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -5.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.22%56.90%59.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.681.6962.11%59.92%59.52%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit)

Prediction 43.02%2.32fair odd
EV -0.186%
Edge -0.080%
Kelly -0.141%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.97%42.78%43.10%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.212.202.3246.51%45.31%45.56%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Idaho Vandals (Local): 56.98%; Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit): 43.02%. For Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.324. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.320, with an expected value of -0.186%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.71%E -2.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-24 18:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.71%E -2.19%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 20:55
Caesars🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 15:38
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.64%E -3.06%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 15:40
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.64%E -3.06%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 15:40
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.64%E -3.06%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 15:40
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.85%E -2.90%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 19:35
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -7.13%E -4.37%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -5.78%E -2.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 19:29
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -8.27%E -5.14%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -0.186%E -0.080%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.