Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho Vandals v Abilene Christian Wildcats

2026-09-19 20:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho Vandals (Local)

Prediction 50.40%1.98fair odd
EV -5.76%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -6.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.40%50.40%50.40%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.871.871.8753.48%53.48%53.48%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 49.60%2.02fair odd
EV -5.76%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -6.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%49.60%49.60%49.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.901.901.9052.63%52.63%52.63%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Idaho Vandals (Local): 50.40%; Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit): 49.60%. For Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.90, with an expected value of -5.76%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.76%E -3.08%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.76%E -3.03%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 01:50
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.76%E -3.08%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.76%E -3.03%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.