Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho State Bengals v San Diego Toreros

2026-09-12 22:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

94%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho State Bengals (Local)

Prediction 93.63%1.07fair odd

EV -3.56%

Edge -3.45%

Kelly -118.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

91.61%93.63%93.63%93.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.021.031.031.0398.04%97.40%97.09%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Toreros (Visit)

Prediction 6.37%15.71fair odd

EV -4.49%

Edge -0.300%

Kelly -0.321%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.37%6.37%6.37%8.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

11.2513.0813.0015.008.89%7.64%7.69%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Idaho State Bengals (Local): 93.63%; San Diego Toreros (Visit): 6.37%. For Idaho State Bengals (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.03, with an expected value of -3.56%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.56%E -3.45%K -118.60%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -17.23%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-09 03:04
ReBet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -3.56%E -3.45%K -118.60%G +0.000%	11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -28.37%E -2.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-09 01:09
FanDuel🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.49%E -4.41%K -224.72%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.49%E -0.300%K -0.321%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-09 00:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.