Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho State Bengals v Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

2026-10-04 00:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

70%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho State Bengals (Local)

Prediction 69.51%1.44fair odd

EV -5.47%

Edge -4.02%

Kelly -15.20%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

69.51%69.51%69.51%70.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.331.351.351.3675.19%74.35%74.35%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (Visit)

Prediction 30.49%3.28fair odd

EV -1.81%

Edge -0.563%

Kelly -0.816%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.23%30.49%30.49%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.103.163.163.2232.26%31.65%31.65%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Idaho State Bengals (Local): 69.51%; Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (Visit): 30.49%. For Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.22, with an expected value of -1.81%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-30 05:00
ReBet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -7.56%E -5.68%K -22.90%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -1.81%E -0.563%K -0.816%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-30 05:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.