The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Idaho State Bengals v Cal Poly Mustangs

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 22:01 UTC

Final: Idaho State Bengals 24–25 Cal Poly Mustangs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho State Bengals (Local)

Prediction 81.14%1.23fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -3.60%
Kelly -23.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.81%81.35%81.16%82.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.161.161.1887.72%86.21%86.21%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit)

Prediction 18.86%5.30fair odd
EV +3.73%
Edge +0.677%
Kelly +0.828%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%18.65%18.84%19.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.205.095.5020.83%19.24%19.65%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Idaho State Bengals (Local): 81.14%; Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit): 18.86%. For Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.30. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.69%E -5.82%K -44.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +3.73%E +0.677%K +0.828%G +0.031%5.1%2026-10-10 14:20
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.69%E -5.82%K -44.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +3.73%E +0.677%K +0.828%G +0.031%5.1%2026-10-10 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.69%E -5.82%K -44.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +3.73%E +0.677%K +0.828%G +0.031%5.1%2026-10-10 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.69%E -5.82%K -44.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +3.73%E +0.677%K +0.828%G +0.031%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.07%E -4.33%K -29.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.82%E -0.749%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 21:35
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.28%EV -5.07%E -4.33%K -29.80%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.72%EV -4.20%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 21:40
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.25%E -3.60%K -23.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 19:05
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.07%E -4.33%K -29.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 21:45
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.07%E -4.33%K -29.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 21:34
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.50%E -6.58%K -53.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -9.48%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 21:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.