Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders v Yale University Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 18:01 UTC

Final: Holy Cross Crusaders 28–38 Yale University Bulldogs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

11%

89%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders (Local)

Prediction 11.25%8.89fair odd

EV +4.10%

Edge +0.444%

Kelly +0.497%

Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 9.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.45%11.12%11.25%11.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.308.558.409.2512.05%11.70%11.90%10.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yale University Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 88.75%1.13fair odd

EV -4.15%

Edge -3.85%

Kelly -51.93%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

88.49%88.88%88.75%89.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.051.081.081.0895.24%93.02%92.59%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Holy Cross Crusaders (Local): 11.25%; Yale University Bulldogs (Visit): 88.75%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +4.10%E +0.444%K +0.497%G +0.020%	1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -4.15%E -3.85%K -51.93%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-19 15:55
Fliff🎯	8.95I 11.17%NM 10.68%EV +0.726%E +0.081%K +0.091%G +0.001%	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.32%EV -5.04%E -4.71%K -72.03%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-19 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.34%E -0.510%K -0.578%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.15%E -3.85%K -51.93%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-19 16:09
theScore Bet🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.34%E -0.510%K -0.578%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.82%E -6.49%K -136.34%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-19 16:09
FanDuel🎯	8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -6.59%E -0.794%K -0.903%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.15%E -3.85%K -51.93%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-19 15:45
betPARX🎯	8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -6.59%E -0.794%K -0.903%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.15%E -3.85%K -51.93%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-19 15:01
Bally Bet🎯	8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -6.59%E -0.794%K -0.903%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.15%E -3.85%K -51.93%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-19 15:01
BetRivers🎯	8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -6.59%E -0.794%K -0.903%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.15%E -3.85%K -51.93%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-19 15:01

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.