Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders v Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 19:31 UTC

Final: Holy Cross Crusaders 10–35 Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders (Local)

Prediction 17.85%5.60fair odd
EV +2.64%
Edge +0.459%
Kelly +0.555%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.79%17.89%18.10%19.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.305.255.7520.00%18.88%19.05%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lehigh Mountain Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 82.15%1.22fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -17.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.91%82.11%81.90%83.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.161.161.1890.09%86.21%86.21%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Holy Cross Crusaders (Local): 17.85%; Lehigh Mountain Hawks (Visit): 82.15%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.60. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.64%E +0.459%K +0.555%G +0.015%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 19:00
ReBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +1.74%E +0.306%K +0.371%G +0.006%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 18:57
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.83%E -0.332%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 15:04
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -1.83%E -0.332%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.81%E -7.94%K -80.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 15:04
Fliff🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -2.72%E -0.499%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:00
Caesars🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:46
FanDuel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.97%E -1.76%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.88%E -3.32%K -22.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:55
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.06%E -2.60%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:50
Bally Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.06%E -2.60%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:50
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.06%E -2.60%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 17:50
BetUS🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.88%E -3.32%K -22.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.