Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders v Bucknell Bison

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 17:01 UTC

Final: Holy Cross Crusaders 34–3 Bucknell Bison

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders (Local)

Prediction 78.80%1.27fair odd

EV -3.86%

Edge -3.16%

Kelly -17.54%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

78.29%79.15%78.67%81.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.171.191.201.2285.47%83.75%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bucknell Bison (Visit)

Prediction 21.20%4.72fair odd

EV +5.98%

Edge +1.20%

Kelly +1.49%

Growth +0.089%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.96%20.85%21.33%21.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.404.674.555.0022.73%21.39%21.98%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Holy Cross Crusaders (Local): 78.80%; Bucknell Bison (Visit): 21.20%. For Bucknell Bison (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.72. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.88%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.98%E +1.20%K +1.49%G +0.089%	5.5%	2026-10-24 13:39
Bally Bet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.88%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.98%E +1.20%K +1.49%G +0.089%	5.5%	2026-10-24 13:40
betPARX🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.88%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.98%E +1.20%K +1.49%G +0.089%	5.5%	2026-10-24 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.80%E -6.67%K -45.88%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.98%E +1.20%K +1.49%G +0.089%	5.5%	2026-10-24 13:39
FanDuel🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.43%E -4.53%K -27.17%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.50%E -0.543%K -0.694%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-24 10:50
BetMGM🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.16%K -17.54%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.62%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-24 14:04
Fliff🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.13%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -5.68%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-24 16:15
theScore Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.86%E -3.16%K -17.54%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-24 11:10
Caesars🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.13%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-24 13:09
ReBet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.43%E -4.53%K -27.17%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.74%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-24 14:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.