The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Harvard Crimson v Holy Cross Crusaders

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 17:01 UTC

Final: Harvard Crimson 30–7 Holy Cross Crusaders

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Harvard Crimson (Local)

Prediction 84.90%1.18fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -3.60%
Kelly -31.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.15%84.99%84.80%85.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.121.131.1393.46%89.20%88.50%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit)

Prediction 15.10%6.62fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.282%
Kelly -0.334%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.13%15.01%15.20%15.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.216.156.5016.67%16.10%16.26%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harvard Crimson (Local): 84.90%; Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit): 15.10%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.50, with an expected value of -1.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.07%E -3.60%K -31.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -1.83%E -0.282%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 15:35
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.48%EV -4.07%E -3.60%K -31.27%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.52%EV -7.12%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.07%E -3.60%K -31.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -7.88%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 14:35
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.07%E -3.60%K -31.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -7.88%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 14:40
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.07%E -3.60%K -31.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -7.88%E -1.29%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 14:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.07%E -3.60%K -31.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.39%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 14:35
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.91%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.61%E -0.898%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 13:33
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.91%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -6.37%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -9.16%E -8.56%K -130.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -1.83%E -0.282%K -0.334%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.