Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Harvard Crimson v Colgate Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 23:01 UTC

Final: Harvard Crimson 20–17 Colgate Raiders

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

63%

37%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Harvard Crimson (Local)

Prediction 63.10%1.58fair odd

EV -2.82%

Edge -1.83%

Kelly -5.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.69%63.01%63.10%64.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.481.501.501.5467.57%66.50%66.89%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colgate Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 36.90%2.71fair odd

EV -2.22%

Edge -0.837%

Kelly -1.34%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.84%36.99%36.90%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.482.602.652.6540.32%38.50%37.74%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harvard Crimson (Local): 63.10%; Colgate Raiders (Visit): 36.90%. For Colgate Raiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -2.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.82%E -1.83%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.49%E -3.42%K -5.74%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-03 22:45
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.91%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-03 22:50
Fliff🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-03 22:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.72%E -3.12%K -9.25%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.22%E -0.837%K -1.34%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-03 15:44
betPARX🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.77%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.22%E -0.837%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-03 17:30
BetRivers🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.77%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.22%E -0.837%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-03 17:29
Bally Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.77%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.22%E -0.837%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-03 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.77%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.22%E -0.837%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-03 17:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.