Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 11.50
assuming max odds 1.08
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hampton Pirates (Local): 10.66%; Campbell Fighting Camels (Visit): 89.34%. For Hampton Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.38. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.63%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +22.63%E +1.97%K +2.15%G +0.488% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -7.09%E -6.82%K -177.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +22.63%E +1.97%K +2.15%G +0.488% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -7.09%E -6.82%K -177.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 13:43 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +22.63%E +1.97%K +2.15%G +0.488% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -7.09%E -6.82%K -177.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV -1.90%E -0.206%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -5.30%E -5.00%K -88.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -5.10%E -0.573%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -9.36%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.52%E -3.26%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 19:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.36%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.20%E -5.90%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -10.43%E -1.24%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.41%E -4.12%K -62.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 15:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.