Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hampton Pirates v Bryant Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 22:01 UTC

Final: Hampton Pirates 3–31 Bryant Bulldogs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hampton Pirates (Local)

Prediction 39.22%2.55fair odd
EV +0.022%
Edge +0.009%
Kelly +0.014%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.19%39.27%40.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.432.432.5542.92%41.08%41.15%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bryant Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 60.78%1.65fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.29%60.81%60.73%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.14%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hampton Pirates (Local): 39.22%; Bryant Bulldogs (Visit): 60.78%. For Hampton Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.549. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.550, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.022%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.022%E +0.009%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.41%E -4.16%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 15:15
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.94%E -0.776%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.84%E -5.89%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.19%E -3.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.19%E -3.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:30
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.19%E -3.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:35
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.68%E -1.93%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.19%E -3.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:29
Caesars🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.47%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 19:02
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:59
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 21:55
DraftKings🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.61%E -3.69%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.76%E -1.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.