Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgetown Hoyas v Columbia Lions

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 16:31 UTC

Final: Georgetown Hoyas 17–20 Columbia Lions

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

32%

68%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgetown Hoyas (Local)

Prediction 32.16%3.11fair odd

EV +1.31%

Edge +0.415%

Kelly +0.608%

Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.16%31.99%32.24%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.853.013.013.1535.09%33.24%33.22%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbia Lions (Visit)

Prediction 67.84%1.47fair odd

EV -2.99%

Edge -2.09%

Kelly -6.95%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.67%68.01%67.76%69.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.391.381.4373.53%71.90%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgetown Hoyas (Local): 32.16%; Columbia Lions (Visit): 67.84%. For Georgetown Hoyas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +1.31%E +0.415%K +0.608%G +0.008%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.74%E -5.69%K -21.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-26 15:00
Bally Bet🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +1.31%E +0.415%K +0.608%G +0.008%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.74%E -5.69%K -21.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-26 15:00
betPARX🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +1.31%E +0.415%K +0.608%G +0.008%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.74%E -5.69%K -21.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-26 15:00
BetUS🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.302%E -0.097%K -0.144%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.79%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-26 15:35
ReBet🎯	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -2.87%E -0.952%K -1.42%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -4.35%E -3.08%K -10.60%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-26 15:35
DraftKings🎯	3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -3.20%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -5.70%E -4.10%K -14.62%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-26 14:45
BetMGM🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.13%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.99%E -2.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-26 16:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.13%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.79%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-26 15:10
theScore Bet🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.79%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-26 15:10
FanDuel🎯	2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.02%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.99%E -2.09%K -6.95%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-26 16:05
Fliff🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.34%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.67%E -2.58%K -8.73%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-26 15:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.